What’s your favourite terrible technological prediction? There are plenty to choose from, that’s for sure. The following is just a brief list of the most infamous computing-based futurology howlers (oldest to newest):
- “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers”, Thomas Watson: IBM chairman (1943) (* or was it someone else?)
- “Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons”, Popular Mechanics (1949)
- “I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won’t last out the year”, Prentice Hall: Business Books Editor (1957)
- “There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home”, Ken Olsen: DEC founder (1977)
- “640K ought to be enough for anybody”, Bill Gates (1981) (* or did he really?)
- “We will never make a 32-bit operating system”, Bill Gates (1989)
- “Spam will be a thing of the past in two years’ time”, Bill Gates (2004)
- “Next Christmas the iPod will be dead, finished, gone, kaput”, Alan Sugar (2005)