Daily Archives: Wednesday 11th October 2017

Can Futurology ‘Success’ be ‘Measured’?

Passions run high among sci-fi fans: never in this blog’s history has it been so necessary to note ‘this is only a bit of fun‘ in advance of a post!

How ‘good’ are we at predicting the future?  More precisely, how could we measure how good anyone is at it?  Well, we’re going irritate some straight away here by treating ‘serious’ academic researchers, professional ‘futurists’ and science fiction writers as doing essentially the same thing.  Perhaps, on that basis, we should narrow our notion of science fiction to ‘hard’ sci-fi loosely set somewhere in humanity’s future; but, that aside, that’s exactly what we’re going to do.

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